6 Comments

With regard to footnote 1, I hope that "less" doesn't become "none". Being outside of politics looking in, I find your posts both entertaining and enlightening.

I would also like to acknowledge that it's very kind of you to have provided all this entertainment and enlightenment for free. Thank you.

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Thank you for another really well thought-out piece, that brings out something no one else seems to have picked up on: the Conservatives currently have no good options around messaging/rebuttal and those options are likely to get even less favourable if they do elect someone way further to the right than the electorate. If their new leader is at least vaguely balanced, they may have a chance e of acting as "His Majesty's Loyal Opposition". Pinprick attacks, maybe. Impact on public policy and legislation minimal. But that would be a better place than they'll be in if they try to be Reform-lite. They will then be so contrary to current public mood that it would almost guarantee a Labour re-election in 28/29...

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Yes, I remember Labour post 2010, and I remember one Labour MP stating (about the global economic crash and the fact that the Tories were blaming it all on Labour): "We're looking forwards, not back. That's all the past." What a stupid, stupid thing to do. And that "Labour crashed the economy in 2008" nonsense still lives on today.

One thing Starmer has said that I absolutely love: "We will... end the era of noisy performance… tread more lightly on your lives." Political commentators will be pulling their hair out. Witness today's petty outrage at Starmer refusing to comment on Biden's suitability to be president.

But we have many months of Tory infighting to come, which I can't see being resolved any time soon. You have two diametrically-opposed factions: the centre-right Conservatives of the One Nation group; and there's the further-right Conservatives of the PopCons, supported by people like Braveman and David Starkey.

I can't see a centre ground between those two, but I look forward to the inevitable chaos and backstabbing which will ensue.

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There is a solution to the leadership campaign leaving the field open problem, return the choice of leader to the MPs where it belongs

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Quite possibly. In the Truss / Sunak leadership election, Sunak beat Truss in each of the five MP vote rounds. Maybe MPs knew something. It was only when they threw it open to the membership did Truss beat Sunak. And we know how that ended...

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If Corbyn had won a small majority I can imagine a situation where 10-20 Labour MPs refuse to sign off on him being PM with the access to all the security information and leadership of the defence and security industries that the PM controls and that would have been a real crisis, a crisis created by the absurdity of people outside parliament having a say on who is the parliamentary leader, we don’t have a Presidential system and anyone outside the parliamentary party having a say in the choice of parliamentary leader is a constitutional absurdity

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